Antonee Robinson (£4.8M) — Fulham's attacking left-back. Averages 4.2 PPG with attacking returns every 4 games. Morgan Rogers (£5.2M) — Villa's breakout midfielder. 8 goal involvements in the last 10. Fabian Schär (£5.0M) — Newcastle's best defender, bonus magnet.
Captain the highest-owned premium player unless you have a strong reason not to. Haaland at home = auto-captain. Salah vs bottom-half teams = auto-captain. The 30 points you gain from a correct differential captain will be wiped out by the 3 times it backfires. Play the odds, not the hero picks.
Triple Captain: Double Gameweek when your premium has 2 easy fixtures. Bench Boost: Same — DGW with a full playing bench. Free Hit: Blank Gameweek when half the league doesn't play. Wildcard: GW16 to set up for the busy December-January period, and GW30+ for the final push.
xGI (expected goal involvement) is the best predictor of future FPL points. Ignore actual goals — they're noisy. A player with high xGI and low actual returns is DUE a haul. Also: check fixtures, not form. A mediocre player with 3 easy fixtures will outscore a great player with 3 tough ones.